Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 28, 2023

J.D. Martinez is only two RBI away from his 100th of the campaign as his Los Angeles Dodgers (98-60) prep for the Colorado Rockies (57-101) on Thursday at 8:40 PM ET.

The Dodgers are away from home and heavy favorites (-225) at the Rockies (+184). The total for the game is set at 12 total runs.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of September 28, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -225 +184 12

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 133 games this season and won 85 (63.9%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 20-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -225 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of 157 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 87-70-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 11
ERA 2.50
K/9 10.9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 52 wins in the 143 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 10-46 when favored by +184 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 35.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Colorado has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 158 chances this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread record of 77-81-0 in 158 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 10
ERA 6.43
K/9 7.8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough

  • When Yarbrough starts, his team is 6-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Saturday when he threw 3 2/3 innings out of the bullpen against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • In eight starts this season, Yarbrough has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 3.6 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 24 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Yarbrough’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Yarbrough’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Games started by Yarbrough have a 1-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 64 66.1 47 1.22 19 7
Evan Phillips 58 59.2 64 2.41 6 23
Caleb Ferguson 57 59 67 3.20 18 3
Ryan Brasier 56 58.2 55 3.07 11 2
Alex Vesia 55 49.2 64 4.35 10 1

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chris Flexen

  • Flexen gets the start for the Rockies, his 16th of the season. He is 1-8 with a 7.01 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 96 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Flexen is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.4 innings per start.
  • He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rockies have a 3-11 record in Flexen’s 14 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Flexen’s 15 starts, his team is 3-12.
  • Flexen’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 15 games.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 66 72.1 73 3.86 11 11
Jake Bird 63 87.1 75 4.33 13 0
Brent Suter 53 67.1 52 3.74 7 0
Matt Koch 37 36.2 24 5.40 6 0
Gavin Hollowell 24 31.1 31 5.74 3 1

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 57-19 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
  • Los Angeles has gone 37-9 in its 46 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits 105 times this season, and has a 79-26 record in those games.
  • Los Angeles is 81-20 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 66 games this season, and are 46-20 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They have won 19 of the 35 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Colorado has won 14 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 94 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-52.
  • In 64 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-23.
  • They have won 16 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-225)
Over/Under Pick: Over (12)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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