The Baltimore Orioles (99-59) aim to add on to their four-game win streak when they meet the Boston Red Sox (76-82) on Thursday at 6:35 PM ET, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles are favored at home (-130) against the Red Sox (+109). The game’s total is set at 7.5.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of September 28, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -130 | +109 | 7.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 53, or 67.1%, of those games.
- This season Baltimore has won 43 of its 59 games, or 72.9%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 81 of 158 games with a total.
- The Orioles have an ATS record of 95-63-0 in 158 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (43.9%) in those games.
- Boston has a mark of 26-26 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 82 of its 158 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 74-84-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer and his team have a record of 22-9-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- In 31 starts, Kremer has pitched through or past the fifth inning 23 times. He has a season average of 5.4 frames per outing.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 31 chances this season.
- Kremer’s team has won 76.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-3).
- Kremer’s team has won 23 of his 31 starts.
- Games Kremer has started this season hit the over 18 times in 31 chances.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 69 | 71.2 | 63 | 2.13 | 30 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 62 | 52.1 | 43 | 3.61 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 59 | 50.1 | 56 | 2.68 | 23 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 58 | 57.1 | 47 | 6.12 | 10 | 3 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 54 | 77 | 82 | 7.25 | 5 | 2 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale
- Sale makes the start for the Red Sox, his 20th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 123 strikeouts in 97 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last appeared on Friday against the Chicago White Sox, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
- Sale will look to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 19 outings this season.
- The Red Sox are 2-2 in Sale’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Sale’s team is 12-7 over his 19 starts.
- Sale has had 19 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those games finished over the total.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 56 | 81.2 | 78 | 2.87 | 19 | 3 |
| Chris Martin | 55 | 51.1 | 46 | 1.05 | 23 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 45 | 49.1 | 56 | 3.28 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 43 | 45.2 | 52 | 3.94 | 10 | 1 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 43-14 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has gone 37-3 in its 40 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 74-28 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Baltimore has a 77-12 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles are 31-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 33-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 30-13 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 62-45 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 62 of its 79 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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