NFL action in Week 4 will see the New Orleans Saints and Alvin Kamara face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Alvin Kamara Player Props vs the Buccaneers
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 | -105 | 21.5 | -115 | +120 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 | -105 | 21.5 | -115 |
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2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 6 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 2 | 1 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 1 |
Alvin Kamara’s Rushing Trends
- Last season Kamara ran for 897 yards on 223 carries (59.8 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns. Kamara also made an impact in the passing game, catching 57 balls for 490 yards (32.7 ypg) and two touchdowns.
- He was 36th in the NFL with 4.0 rushing yards per attempt last year (897 yards on 223 carries).
- Kamara totaled 897 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns to rank 20th and 62nd, respectively, in those categories last season.
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Kamara’s Receiving Trends
- Kamara’s 8.6 yards per catch average was 117th in the league
This Week’s Predictions
| Kamara (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Buccaneers (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5+ Rushing Yards | 53.3% | 50.8% | 48.4% | 51.8% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 13.3% | 35.1% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.4% | 0% | 0.8% |
| 21.5+ Receiving Yards | 53.3% | 71.5% | 76.1% | 61.3% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 6.7% | 22.3% | 31.5% | 14.8% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 4.9% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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