Patrick Mahomes II’s Kansas City Chiefs will take the field against the New York Jets at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL campaign.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Jets
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275.5 | -110 | 2.5 | +150 | 17.5 | -135 | +285 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275.5 | -110 | 17.5 | -135 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 3 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Patrick Mahomes II has passed for 803 yards (267.7 per game) while completing 65.5% of his passes (74-for-113), with seven touchdowns and two interceptions.
- Mahomes is averaging 7.1 yards per attempt this season, which ranks 11th in the league.
- Mahomes is eighth in the NFL in passing yards (803) and fourth in passing TDs (seven).
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- Mahomes has tacked on 103 rushing yards on 16 carries, averaging 34.3 yards per game.
- He racks up 6.4 yards per carry (103 yards on 16 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Jets (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275.5+ Passing Yards | 33.3% | 28.3% | 0% | 24.4% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 80.8% | 100% | 97.6% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 100% | 34.3% | 33.3% | 75.1% |
| 17.5+ Rushing Yards | 100% | 92.6% | 100% | 99.1% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 32.9% | 0% | 4.1% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.4% | 0% | 1.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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