Marcus Semien sits at 99 RBI, and will try to collect his 100th when his Texas Rangers (89-69) take on the Seattle Mariners (85-73) at 9:40 PM ET on Thursday.
The Mariners are a tight favorite (-115 moneyline odds) when they take the field against the Rangers (-104). The total for the game is 7.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of September 28, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -115 | -104 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 108 times this season and won 63, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Seattle has a record of 59-42 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 158 chances this season.
- The Mariners are 74-84-0 ATS in their 158 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been victorious in 24, or 50%, of the 48 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Texas has won 16 of 38 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 84 of its 158 opportunities.
- The Rangers are 85-73-0 against the spread in their 158 games that had a posted line this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- Gilbert’s team is 15-16-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Saturday.
- Gilbert has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 31 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Gilbert’s team has a record of 11-13 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Gilbert’s team has won 17 of his 31 starts this season.
- Games Gilbert has started this season hit the over 16 times in 31 chances.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 76 | 69.2 | 106 | 2.97 | 24 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 73 | 68 | 59 | 2.65 | 23 | 3 |
| Gabe Speier | 66 | 51.2 | 58 | 4.01 | 17 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 50 | 47.2 | 65 | 2.83 | 14 | 13 |
| Dominic Leone | 49 | 53 | 54 | 4.75 | 3 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery
- Montgomery makes the start for the Rangers, his 32nd of the season. He is 10-11 with a 3.25 ERA and 161 strikeouts in 182 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, when he went seven scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
- Montgomery will try to continue a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing).
- He has had seven appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Rangers have been the moneyline underdog in five of Montgomery’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those games.
- Montgomery’s team is 11-20 over his 31 starts.
- Montgomery has had 31 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 14 of those outings finished over the total.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 58 | 58.1 | 103 | 2.78 | 14 | 6 |
| Will Smith | 58 | 56.1 | 54 | 4.47 | 8 | 22 |
| José Leclerc | 54 | 54.2 | 64 | 2.8 | 7 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 51 | 59 | 51 | 4.27 | 12 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 42-16 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
- Seattle has put up at least five extra-base hits in 31 games this season, and has gone 27-4 in those outings.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 99 games this season, and is 67-32 in those contests.
- Seattle is 71-13 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 51 games this season, and are 34-17 in those contests.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They have won 55 of the 75 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Texas has gone 37-14 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 81 of the 121 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Texas has won 77 of its 101 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 36 of their 56 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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