The Milwaukee Brewers (89-69) are looking for William Contreras to extend a 14-game hitting streak versus the St. Louis Cardinals (69-89) on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, at American Family Field.
The Brewers are favored at home (-253) versus the Cardinals (+209). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 28, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -253 | +209 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 50, or 57.5%, of the 87 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee is 3-1 this season when entering a game favored by -253 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 71.7% chance to win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 158 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers are 80-78-0 ATS in their 158 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.33 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 81 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (43.2%) in those games.
- St. Louis has been listed as an underdog of +209 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 32.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 157 chances this season.
- The Cardinals are 73-84-0 against the spread in their 157 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 13-18-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he allowed two hits in five scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Burnes has pitched five or more innings in 29 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has eight appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 31 chances this season.
- Burnes’ team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-9).
- Burnes’ team is 17-14 when he starts this season.
- In Burnes’ 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 16 times.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 71 | 63.1 | 58 | 1.99 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 66 | 69.2 | 76 | 2.58 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 59 | 57.2 | 85 | 1.56 | 0 | 36 |
| Andrew Chafin | 59 | 50 | 63 | 4.86 | 13 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 52 | 75.2 | 60 | 2.62 | 4 | 3 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Dakota Hudson
- Hudson (6-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cardinals, his 12th of the season.
- His last appearance was on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Hudson is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.5 frames per start.
- In four of his 17 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Cardinals have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Hudson’s starts this season, and they went 5-3 in those games.
- Hudson’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
- Hudson has started 11 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 58 | 65.1 | 42 | 4.82 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 58 | 60 | 59 | 3.9 | 14 | 0 |
| John King | 32 | 35.1 | 18 | 3.82 | 11 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 31 | 35.2 | 50 | 2.52 | 2 | 13 |
| Zack Thompson | 16 | 66.1 | 72 | 4.34 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 46-10 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 24 games this season when putting up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits in 81 games this season, and is 61-20 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 73-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers are 41-13 in the 54 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 67 games this season and are 44-23 in those matchups.
- St. Louis has won 34 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 64-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has won 59 of its 75 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 21 of their 51 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-253)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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