The New York Yankees (81-77) will look to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Toronto Blue Jays (87-71), at 7:07 PM ET on Thursday.
The Blue Jays are favored at home (-186) against the Yankees (+157). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of September 28, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -186 | +157 | 8.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have won 64, or 54.7%, of the 117 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Toronto has won 20 of its 32 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 65%.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 158 games with a total.
- In 158 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 72-86-0 ATS.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.23 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have come away with 29 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, New York has been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of its 158 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Yankees are 79-79-0 against the spread in their 158 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt
- Bassitt’s team is 15-17-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Bassitt will look to finish five or more innings for the 14th start in a row.
- He has made 32 appearances and finished eight of them without allowing an earned run.
- Bassitt’s team is 11-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bassitt’s team has won 19 of his 32 starts.
- Out of Bassitt’s 32 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | 69 | 63.2 | 77 | 4.24 | 19 | 3 |
| Tim Mayza | 67 | 51.1 | 50 | 1.40 | 22 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 66 | 64.2 | 74 | 3.06 | 29 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 63 | 63.2 | 79 | 3.11 | 13 | 12 |
| Jordan Romano | 57 | 58 | 72 | 2.95 | 2 | 36 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver (3-5) takes the mound first for the Yankees in his 25th start of the season. He’s put together a 6.47 ERA in 119 2/3 innings pitched, with 103 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s last time out came on Friday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
- Weaver is trying to pick up his 11th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
- In three of his 28 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Yankees have a 12-9 record in Weaver’s 21 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Weaver’s 24 starts, his team is 14-10.
- Weaver has started 24 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 63 | 62 | 69 | 2.61 | 5 | 23 |
| Michael King | 39 | 100.2 | 126 | 2.50 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 34 | 56 | 68 | 2.73 | 4 | 2 |
| Nick Ramirez | 31 | 39.2 | 28 | 2.72 | 2 | 1 |
| Greg Weissert | 14 | 17.1 | 19 | 4.15 | 1 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have racked up two or more long balls in 47 games this season, and are 33-14 in those contests.
- Toronto has gone 25-9 in its 34 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 112 games this season, and is 76-36 in those contests.
- Toronto is 63-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays are 31-14 in the 45 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 80 games this season and are 61-19 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 21-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 63 of the 91 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- New York has won 59 of its 75 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 53 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 32-21
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-186)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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