Justin Jefferson: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Vikings Vs Panthers – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

Week 4 NFL action will see Justin Jefferson and the Minnesota Vikings take on the Carolina Panthers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Justin Jefferson Player Props vs the Panthers

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
101.5 -105
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
101.5 -105

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0

Justin Jefferson’s Receiving Trends

  • Jefferson has grabbed 27 passes for a team-best 458 yards and one touchdown. He has been targeted 38 times and averages 152.7 yards per game.
  • So far this season, Jefferson has racked up 17.0 yards per reception, which ranks 11th in the league.
  • Jefferson ranks first in the league with 458 receiving yards, and 32nd with one receiving TD.

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This Week’s Predictions

Jefferson (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Panthers (2023) Prediction
101.5+ Receiving Yards 100% 6.5% 7.1% 65.1%
1+ Receiving TDs 33.3% 20.1% 7.1% 25.1%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.1% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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