NFL action in Week 4 will see Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers match up against the New Orleans Saints at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Baker Mayfield Player Props vs the Saints
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216.5 | -115 | 1.5 | +195 | 14.5 | +100 | +550 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 216.5 | -115 | 14.5 | +100 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 2 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Baker Mayfield’s Passing Trends
- Mayfield leads Tampa Bay with 636 passing yards (212.0 per game) and has a 66.7% completion percentage this year (62-of-93) while throwing four touchdowns and one interception.
- With 636 yards on 93 attempts, Mayfield ranks 15th in the NFL with 6.8 passing yards per attempt.
- Mayfield’s four passing touchdowns and 636 yards rank 11th and 21st, respectively, in league play.
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Mayfield’s Rushing Trends
- Mayfield has also carried the ball 15 times for 30 yards, averaging 10.0 yards per game.
- He averages 2.0 rushing yards per carry.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mayfield (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Saints (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216.5+ Passing Yards | 33.3% | 60.6% | 33.3% | 36.7% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 80.8% | 66.7% | 89.3% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 33.3% | 34.3% | 0% | 25.1% |
| 14.5+ Rushing Yards | 33.3% | 94% | 100% | 57.6% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 32.9% | 25% | 10.4% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.4% | 0% | 1.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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