Matthew Stafford: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Rams Vs Colts – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

NFL action in Week 4 at Lucas Oil Stadium will see the Los Angeles Rams and Matthew Stafford face off against the Indianapolis Colts at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Matthew Stafford Player Props vs the Colts

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
256.5 -115 1.5 -105 5.5 +105 +750
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
256.5 -115 5.5 +105

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 3 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

Matthew Stafford’s Passing Trends

  • Stafford has passed for 910 yards (303.3 per game) while completing 60.3% of his passes (76-for-126), with two touchdowns and four interceptions.
  • Stafford averages 7.2 yards per attempt this season, which ranks 10th in the league.
  • Stafford’s 910 passing yards and two passing touchdowns rank fifth and 22nd, respectively, in NFL play.

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Stafford’s Rushing Trends

  • Stafford has also figured in the ground game, with 35 rushing yards (11.7 ypg) on eight carries.
  • He averages 4.4 yards per attempt.

This Week’s Predictions

Stafford (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Colts (2023) Prediction
256.5+ Passing Yards 100% 33.3% 33.3% 75%
1+ Passing TDs 66.7% 80.8% 66.7% 68.5%
2+ Passing TDs 0% 34.3% 66.7% 21%
5.5+ Rushing Yards 100% 99.3% 100% 99.9%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.9% 42.9% 14.8%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9.4% 14.3% 4.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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