Khalil Herbert: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Bears Vs Broncos – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

Week 4 NFL action will see Khalil Herbert and the Chicago Bears match up against the Denver Broncos at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Khalil Herbert Player Props vs the Broncos

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
44.5 -115 8.5 -130 +225
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
44.5 -115 8.5 -130

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 0 2
Games w/ 1+ TDs 0 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

Khalil Herbert’s Rushing Trends

  • So far this year Herbert has run for 93 yards on 23 carries (31.0 ypg).
  • He averages 4.0 yards per carry (22nd in NFL).
  • Herbert has racked up 93 rushing yards to rank 43rd in the league.

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Herbert’s Receiving Trends

  • Herbert has also tacked on six catches for 64 yards (21.3 per game).
  • So far this season, Herbert has racked up 10.7 yards per reception, which ranks 70th in the NFL.

This Week’s Predictions

Herbert (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Broncos (2023) Prediction
44.5+ Rushing Yards 0% 51.7% 83.3% 27.3%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.9% 50.0% 16.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9.4% 50.0% 13.7%
8.5+ Receiving Yards 66.7% 92.3% 100% 78.2%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 20.1% 37.5% 11.9%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.1% 12.5% 3.5%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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