Lamar Jackson: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Ravens Vs Browns – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

NFL action in Week 4 will see Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens hit the field against the Cleveland Browns at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Lamar Jackson Player Props vs the Browns

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
188.5 -115 1.5 +210 50.5 -115 +135
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
188.5 -115 50.5 -115

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 1 2
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 1

Lamar Jackson’s Passing Trends

  • Jackson has passed for 608 yards (202.7 per game) while completing 73.3% of his passes (63-for-86), with two touchdowns and one interception.
  • Jackson finds himself 11th in the league with 7.1 yards per attempt as a passer (608 total yards passing).
  • Jackson’s 608 passing yards and two passing touchdowns rank 23rd and 22nd, respectively, in NFL play.

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Jackson’s Rushing Trends

  • Jackson has added 193 rushing yards (64.3 ypg) on 32 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.
  • He averages 6.0 yards per carry (fifth in league).

This Week’s Predictions

Jackson (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Browns (2023) Prediction
188.5+ Passing Yards 66.7% 73.7% 33.3% 59.2%
1+ Passing TDs 33.3% 80.8% 33.3% 39.2%
2+ Passing TDs 33.3% 34.3% 0% 25.1%
50.5+ Rushing Yards 66.7% 46.3% 33.3% 55.8%
1+ Rushing TDs 33.3% 32.9% 0% 24.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 33.3% 9.4% 0% 22%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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