Trevor Lawrence: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Jaguars Vs Falcons – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

NFL action in Week 4 will see Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars match up against the Atlanta Falcons at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday.

Trevor Lawrence Player Props vs the Falcons

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
240.5 +100 1.5 +114 15.5 -115 +360
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
240.5 +100 15.5 -115

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 1 2
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Trevor Lawrence’s Passing Trends

  • Lawrence has passed for 736 yards (245.3 per game) while completing 64.6% of his passes (73-for-113), with three touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Lawrence currently ranks 23rd in the NFL with 6.5 yards per attempt passing (736 total yards passing).
  • Lawrence is 11th in the league with 736 passing yards, and 17th with three passing TDs.

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Lawrence’s Rushing Trends

  • Lawrence has also carried the ball 15 times for 59 yards, averaging 19.7 yards per game.
  • He averages 3.9 yards per rush.

This Week’s Predictions

Lawrence (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Falcons (2023) Prediction
240.5+ Passing Yards 66.7% 43.4% 33.3% 55.4%
1+ Passing TDs 66.7% 80.8% 100% 76.8%
2+ Passing TDs 33.3% 34.3% 33.3% 33.4%
15.5+ Rushing Yards 66.7% 93.3% 100% 78.4%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.9% 0% 4.1%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9.4% 0% 1.2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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