Raheem Mostert: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Dolphins Vs Bills – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

NFL action in Week 4 at Highmark Stadium will see the Miami Dolphins and Raheem Mostert take on the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Raheem Mostert Player Props vs the Bills

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
51.5 -125 13.5 -125
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
51.5 -125 13.5 -125

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 2 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 3 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 2 0

Raheem Mostert’s Rushing Trends

  • Mostert’s team-high 240 rushing yards (80.0 per game) have come on 41 carries, with six touchdowns.
  • He puts up 5.9 rushing yards per attempt, sixth in the NFL.
  • Mostert’s 240 yards rank seventh in the league, and his six TDs on the ground rank first.

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Mostert’s Receiving Trends

  • Mostert also has 79 receiving yards (26.3 ypg) on 10 catches, with one TD.
  • With 79 yards on 10 receptions, Mostert ranks 112th in the NFL with 7.9 yards per catch this season.

This Week’s Predictions

Mostert (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bills (2023) Prediction
51.5+ Rushing Yards 66.7% 45% 50% 59.8%
1+ Rushing TDs 100% 32.9% 0% 66.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 66.7% 9.4% 0% 42.9%
13.5+ Receiving Yards 33.3% 82.4% 76.9% 50.3%
1+ Receiving TDs 33.3% 20.1% 15.4% 27.2%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.1% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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