Dawson Knox: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Bills Vs Dolphins – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

Dawson Knox and his Buffalo Bills teammates hit the field against the Miami Dolphins in a Week 4 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Dawson Knox Player Props vs the Dolphins

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
23.5 +100 +240
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
23.5 +100

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0

Dawson Knox’s Receiving Trends

  • Knox’s seven catches (on 12 targets) have led to 46 receiving yards (15.3 per game) and one touchdown.
  • With 46 yards on seven receptions, Knox ranks 129th in the league with 6.6 yards per catch this season.
  • Knox ranks 32nd in the league with one receiving TD, and 168th with 46 receiving yards.

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This Week’s Predictions

Knox (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Dolphins (2023) Prediction
23.5+ Receiving Yards 33.3% 64.9% 57.9% 43.4%
1+ Receiving TDs 33.3% 20.1% 15.8% 27.3%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.1% 0.0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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