Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 27, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

J.D. Martinez has 112 RBI, and will look for his 100th when his Los Angeles Dodgers (97-60) square off against the Colorado Rockies (57-100) on Wednesday at 8:40 PM ET.

The Dodgers are heavily favored (-222 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Rockies (+182). The contest has an over/under of 12.5.

The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 27, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -222 +182 12.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 132 games this season and won 84 (63.6%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 21-10, a 67.7% win rate, when favored by -222 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.9% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of 156 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers have an ATS record of 86-70-0 in 156 games with a spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 2.40
K/9 10.9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been underdogs in 142 games this season and have come away with the win 52 times (36.6%) in those contests.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 11-47 when favored by +182 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 35.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of its 157 opportunities.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 77-80-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 8
ERA 5.79
K/9 7.5

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Emmet Sheehan

  • Sheehan and his team have a record of 4-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up one earned run and did not allow a hit in 4 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants.
  • In 10 starts this season, Sheehan has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.5 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 12 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Sheehan’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-3.
  • In games Sheehan has started, his team is 6-4.
  • Games started by Sheehan have a 6-3-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 63 65.1 46 1.24 18 7
Evan Phillips 58 59.2 64 2.41 6 23
Caleb Ferguson 57 59 67 3.2 18 3
Ryan Brasier 55 57.2 54 3.12 11 2
Alex Vesia 54 48.2 63 4.44 10 1

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Noah Davis

  • Davis (0-3) takes the mound first for the Rockies in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together an 8.77 ERA in 25 2/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Chicago Cubs, when the righty tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Davis heads into the matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • He has made two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Rockies were the underdog on the moneyline for four Davis starts this season — they lost every time.
  • All five of Davis’ starts this season have been losses for his team.
  • Davis’ starts hit the over on the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 65 72 72 3.75 11 11
Jake Bird 63 87.1 75 4.33 13 0
Brent Suter 53 67.1 52 3.74 7 0
Daniel Bard 50 49.1 47 5.29 6 1
Matt Koch 37 36.2 24 5.4 6 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 56-19 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Los Angeles has collected five or more extra-base hits in 45 games this season, and has gone 36-9 in those outings.
  • The club is 78-26 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles is 80-20 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers have gone 45-20 in the 65 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They have won 19 of the 34 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Colorado has won 14 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 42 of the 94 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 64 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-23.
  • They have a 16-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-222)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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