The San Francisco Giants (78-80) and San Diego Padres (78-80) square off on Wednesday at 9:45 PM ET at Oracle Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Giants are projected as a tight favorite (-118 on the moneyline) against the Padres (-101). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 27, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Giants vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | -118 | -101 | 8.5 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have won 43, or 53.8%, of the 80 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Francisco has entered 71 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 39-32 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Giants.
- San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of its 158 games with a total this season.
- The Giants are 71-87-0 ATS in their 158 games with a spread this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been victorious in 12, or 32.4%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, San Diego has been victorious nine times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of its 158 opportunities.
- In 158 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 78-80-0 against the spread.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.27 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
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Giants Probable Pitcher – Sean Manaea
- Manaea’s team is 2-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers while allowing three hits.
- Manaea will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has 12 appearances with no earned runs allowed in 36 chances this season.
- Manaea’s team has a record of 1-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Manaea’s team has won three of his nine starts.
- Games Manaea has started this season hit the over seven times in nine chances.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 67 | 65.2 | 85 | 3.02 | 0 | 38 |
| Tyler Rogers | 65 | 72 | 58 | 3.12 | 29 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | 58 | 51.1 | 63 | 3.33 | 12 | 2 |
| Ryan Walker | 34 | 58.1 | 76 | 3.39 | 3 | 1 |
| Tristan Beck | 29 | 80 | 65 | 4.05 | 4 | 2 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Matt Waldron
- Waldron (1-3) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his sixth start of the season. He has a 4.58 ERA in 35 1/3 innings pitched, with 29 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the righty went 5 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Waldron will try to extend a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging five frames per appearance).
- He has not made an outing so far in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for one Waldron start this season — they lost.
- Over Waldron’s five starts, his team is 2-3.
- Waldron’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barlow | 58 | 65 | 76 | 4.57 | 6 | 13 |
| Josh Hader | 58 | 53.1 | 82 | 1.18 | 0 | 32 |
| Luís Garcia | 58 | 58.1 | 53 | 4.17 | 9 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 53 | 105.1 | 98 | 3.59 | 15 | 1 |
| Tom Cosgrove | 48 | 48.2 | 43 | 1.85 | 6 | 0 |
Giants Hitting Trends
- The Giants have put up at least two round-trippers in 50 games this season, and are 31-19 in those contests.
- San Francisco has collected at least five extra-base hits in 26 games this season, and has gone 18-8 in those outings.
- The team is 58-29 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- San Francisco has a 48-19 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Giants are 22-19 in the 41 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won 42 of the 69 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has gone 27-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 87 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 60-27.
- San Diego has won 61 of its 74 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 62 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 34-28
Giants vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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