Rafael Devers will try to notch his 100th RBI (he has 98) when the Boston Red Sox (76-81) take on the Tampa Bay Rays (96-62) at 6:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
As the favorite, the Rays (-139 moneyline odds to win) take the field at the Red Sox (+117). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of September 27, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -139 | +117 | 7.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 129 times this season and won 84, or 65.1%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 62-25, a 71.3% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 86 of 158 games with a total.
- The Rays are 87-71-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.20 |
| K/9 | 11.2 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 36, or 44.4%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has been victorious 23 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 82 of its 157 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 74-83-0 against the spread in their 157 games that had a posted line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow
- When Glasnow starts, his team is 13-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up four earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Glasnow has 17 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 5.8 innings per outing.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 20 chances this season.
- Glasnow’s team is 11-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Glasnow’s team has won 11 of his 20 starts this season.
- In Glasnow’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 64 | 59.2 | 59 | 2.26 | 22 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 61 | 54.2 | 63 | 3.46 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 57 | 50.1 | 73 | 3.22 | 15 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 54 | 65.1 | 53 | 3.17 | 12 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 48 | 44.1 | 68 | 2.64 | 2 | 25 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello (12-10) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his 28th start of the season. He has a 4.11 ERA in 151 2/3 innings pitched, with 129 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Wednesday, Sept. 20 against the Texas Rangers, when he tossed three innings, surrendering eight earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Bello will try to record his 21st outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per appearance.
- He given up at least one earned run in each of his appearances in 2023.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Bello’s starts this season, and they went 9-4 in those matchups.
- Over Bello’s 27 starts, his team is 17-10.
- Bello has had 27 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 14 of those matchups.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 56 | 81.2 | 78 | 2.87 | 19 | 3 |
| Chris Martin | 55 | 51.1 | 46 | 1.05 | 23 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 45 | 49.1 | 56 | 3.28 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 42 | 44.2 | 51 | 4.03 | 10 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have put up two or more long balls in 67 games this season, and are 50-17 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has put up five or more extra-base hits in 38 games this season, and has gone 35-3 in those outings.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 105 times this season, and has a 73-32 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 73-21 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays are 30-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 33 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has gone 30-13 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 107 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 62-45.
- Boston has a 62-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-139)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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