The Philadelphia Phillies (88-69) take a six-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-83) at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Pirates are an underdog (+111 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Phillies (-133). The game’s over/under is 8.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 27, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -133 | +111 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 64, or 60.4%, of the 106 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia is 49-26 this season when entering a game favored by -133 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of its 157 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 72-85-0 ATS in their 157 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.56 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 125 games this season and have come away with the win 54 times (43.2%) in those contests.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 48 times in 104 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 84 of its 157 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 80-77-0 against the spread in their 157 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.65 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez’s team is 11-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the New York Mets, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Suarez will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 21 chances this season.
- When Suarez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-6.
- Suarez’s team is 12-9 when he starts this season.
- Games Suarez has started this season hit the over eight times in 21 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 69 | 67 | 89 | 3.36 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 66 | 58.1 | 60 | 4.78 | 23 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 55 | 48 | 46 | 3.94 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 51 | 51 | 68 | 2.47 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 46 | 85.2 | 105 | 3.15 | 11 | 2 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo (9-14 with a 4.12 ERA and 152 strikeouts in 172 2/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Pirates, his 32nd of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw six scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
- Oviedo will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 innings per appearance).
- He has made four appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 24 of Oviedo’s starts this season, and they went 8-16 in those games.
- In Oviedo’s 31 starts, his team is 13-18.
- Oviedo has had 31 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 15 of those matchups hit the over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 63 | 65.1 | 76 | 2.07 | 0 | 37 |
| Dauri Moreta | 51 | 55 | 72 | 3.93 | 4 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 47 | 48 | 60 | 4.69 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 34 | 38.1 | 32 | 2.58 | 7 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 32 | 34.1 | 33 | 2.10 | 9 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 44-16 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Philadelphia has gone 34-10 in its 44 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 66-36 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- Philadelphia is 66-17 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 30-10 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has gone 26-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 54-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has a 48-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 23-22 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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