Twins vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 27, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

The Minnesota Twins (84-73) take a three-game win streak into a home contest versus the Oakland Athletics (48-109) at 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Twins are heavily favored at home (-292) against the Athletics (+234). The total for this game is set at 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 27, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -292 +234 7.5

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 106 games this season and won 64 (60.4%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has played as favorites of -292 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 74.5%.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 78 of its 157 chances.
  • The Twins have an ATS record of 79-78-0 in 157 games with a spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 14
ERA 3.27
K/9 11.5

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have won in 47, or 30.5%, of the 154 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Oakland has come away with a win two times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +234 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 29.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Oakland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 84 of its 157 opportunities.
  • The Athletics are 75-82-0 against the spread in their 157 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.6
HR 9
ERA 5.06
K/9 9.7

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • Lopez and his team have a record of 14-17-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the 23rd start in a row.
  • He has made 31 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Lopez’s team has been victorious in 68% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 17-8.
  • Lopez’s team is 18-13 when he starts this season.
  • Games Lopez has started this season hit the over 16 times in 31 chances.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 68 64 65 3.80 23 3
Emilio Pagán 61 66.1 61 3.12 8 0
Jhoan Duran 57 60.1 81 2.54 1 27
Caleb Thielbar 33 29.1 33 2.45 14 0
Brock Stewart 25 26.2 37 0.67 7 1

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Joey Estes

  • Estes (0-1) pitches first for the Athletics to make his second start this season.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday, Sept. 20, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The Athletics were named the moneyline underdog for one Estes start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Estes’ only start with a total this season went over.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Lucas Erceg 48 52.2 67 4.96 11 0
Trevor May 47 44.2 38 3.43 1 20
Dany Jimenez 21 20.1 18 3.10 5 1
Adrian Martinez 20 53 47 4.92 1 0
Francisco Perez 15 15.2 14 6.32 0 0

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 59-19 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • Minnesota is 45-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 70-22 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • Minnesota is 77-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 54 games this season, and are 36-18 in those contests.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They are 31-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Oakland has won 22 of its 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 68 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-35.
  • Oakland has won 36 of its 51 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 20 of their 37 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-292)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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