Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 27, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 27, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (69-88) will look to Jordan Walker, currently on an 11-game hitting streak, against the Milwaukee Brewers (88-69) at 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, at American Family Field.

The Cardinals (+118 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Brewers (-141). The game’s over/under is set at 8.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of September 27, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -141 +118 8

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 49 out of the 86 games, or 57%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season Milwaukee has won 26 of its 46 games, or 56.5%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of 157 games with a total.
  • In 157 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 80-77-0 ATS.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 12
ERA 2.83
K/9 8.6

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (43.8%) in those contests.
  • St. Louis has a mark of 16-20 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 75 of its 156 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Cardinals are 72-84-0 against the spread in their 156 games that had a posted line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.6
HR 7
ERA 4.80
K/9 6.2

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley

  • Miley and his team have a record of 12-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while allowing three hits.
  • Miley has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has six appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 22 chances this season.
  • When Miley starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-4.
  • Miley’s team has won 14 of his 22 starts this season.
  • In Miley’s 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 71 63.1 58 1.99 17 0
Joel Payamps 65 68.2 74 2.62 27 3
Andrew Chafin 58 49 63 4.96 12 8
Devin Williams 58 56.2 84 1.59 0 35
Bryse Wilson 52 75.2 60 2.62 4 3

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Zack Thompson

  • Thompson (5-7 with a 4.57 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cardinals, his ninth of the season.
  • His last time out was on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the left-hander threw five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Thompson will look to build upon a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 2.5 frames per appearance).
  • He has had 11 appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Thompson’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
  • In Thompson’s eight starts, his team is 4-4.
  • Thompson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of eight contests.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andre Pallante 58 65.1 42 4.82 14 0
Drew VerHagen 58 60 59 3.90 14 0
John King 32 35.1 18 3.82 11 0
Ryan Helsley 31 35.2 50 2.52 2 13
Zack Thompson 16 61 67 4.57 1 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have hit at least two round-trippers in 56 games this season, and are 46-10 in those contests.
  • Milwaukee has collected at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and won every time.
  • The club is 61-20 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Milwaukee is 73-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Brewers are 41-13 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 44 of the 67 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has won 34 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 64-39 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 75 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 59-16.
  • They have won 21 of their 50 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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