The Detroit Lions and David Montgomery will hit the field against the Green Bay Packers at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday for a Week 4 NFL contest.
David Montgomery Player Props vs the Packers
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5 | -120 | 7.5 | -115 | +125 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5 | -120 | 7.5 | -115 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 2 | 0 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
David Montgomery’s Rushing Trends
- Detroit’s top rusher, Montgomery, has carried the ball 37 times for 141 yards (70.5 per game), with two touchdowns.
- He puts up 3.8 rushing yards per attempt, 28th in the league.
- Montgomery has churned out 141 rushing yards to rank 25th in the NFL, and his two TDs on the ground rank seventh.
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Montgomery’s Receiving Trends
- Montgomery has also hauled in one pass for 7 yards (3.5 per game).
- Montgomery averages 7.0 yards per catch (seven yards on one reception) this season.
This Week’s Predictions
| Montgomery (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Packers (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5+ Rushing Yards | 100% | 46.3% | 28.6% | 75.4% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 100% | 32.7% | 14.3% | 70.2% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 8.8% | 0% | 1.1% |
| 7.5+ Receiving Yards | 0% | 93.4% | 100% | 36.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 20.1% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.1% | 0% | 0.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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