A.J. Dillon: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Packers Vs Lions – September 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2023

NFL action in Week 4 at Lambeau Field will see the Green Bay Packers and A.J. Dillon match up against the Detroit Lions at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday.

A.J. Dillon Player Props vs the Lions

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
33.5 -115 +145
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
33.5 -115

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 0 1
Games w/ 1+ TDs 0 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

A.J. Dillon’s Rushing Trends

  • Dillon has carried the ball 39 times for a team-high 107 yards (35.7 per game).
  • He picks up 2.7 rushing yards per attempt, 42nd in the NFL.
  • Dillon is 37th in the league with 107 yards rushing.

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Dillon’s Receiving Trends

  • Dillon has also tacked on three catches for 25 yards (8.3 per game).
  • So far this season, Dillon has gained 8.3 yards per reception.

This Week’s Predictions

Dillon (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Lions (2023) Prediction
33.5+ Rushing Yards 33.3% 72.8% 25% 36.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.7% 25% 10.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.8% 25% 7.4%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 20.1% 16.7% 6.7%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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