The Philadelphia Phillies (87-69) aim to add to their five-game winning streak when they square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-82) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are favored at home (-182) against the Pirates (+150). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -182 | +150 | 7.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 63, or 60%, of the 105 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia has a record of 21-12, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -182 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of 156 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 72-84-0 ATS in their 156 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 124 games this year and have walked away with the win 54 times (43.5%) in those games.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 18-16 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +150 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 84 of its 156 opportunities.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 79-77-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.44 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Pirates, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 14-17-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
- Nola has made 26 starts of five or more innings in 31 chances this season, and averages 6 frames when he pitches.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 31 chances this season.
- Nola’s team is 14-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Nola’s team has an 18-13 record in his starts this season.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 19-10-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 68 | 66 | 88 | 3.27 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 66 | 58.1 | 60 | 4.78 | 23 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 55 | 48 | 46 | 3.94 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 50 | 50 | 67 | 2.52 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 45 | 85.1 | 105 | 3.16 | 10 | 2 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller makes the start for the Pirates, his 32nd of the season. He is 13-9 with a 4.25 ERA and 204 strikeouts in 188 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs, when the righty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Keller is trying for his 31st straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per start.
- In five of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Pirates have a 10-10 record in Keller’s 20 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Keller’s team has won 17 of his 31 starts.
- Keller’s starts hit the over on the run total 16 times in 31 games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 62 | 65 | 75 | 2.08 | 0 | 37 |
| Dauri Moreta | 50 | 53.2 | 69 | 4.02 | 4 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 47 | 48 | 60 | 4.69 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 33 | 37.1 | 31 | 2.65 | 7 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 31 | 33.2 | 32 | 2.14 | 9 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have racked up at least two long balls in 60 games this season, and are 44-16 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has gone 34-10 in its 44 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 102 games this season, and is 66-36 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 66-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies are 38-20 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 30-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has gone 26-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 54 of the 77 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 48 of its 60 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 23 of their 45 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-182)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
