Jared Goff: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Lions Vs Packers – September 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2023

Jared Goff and his Detroit Lions teammates face the Green Bay Packers in a Week 4 NFL matchup at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday.

Jared Goff Player Props vs the Packers

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
253.5 +105 1.5 -115 3.5 -105 +700
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
253.5 +105 1.5 -115 3.5 -105

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 1 0
Games w/ 1+ TDs 3 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Jared Goff’s Passing Trends

  • Goff has passed for 819 yards (273.0 per game) while completing 69.9% of his passes (72-for-103), with five touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Goff finds himself third in the league with 8.0 yards per attempt as a passer (819 total yards passing).
  • Goff is sixth in the NFL with 819 passing yards, and seventh with five passing TDs.

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Goff’s Rushing Trends

  • Goff has also contributed in the ground game, with two rushing yards (0.7 ypg) on 10 carries with one rushing touchdown.
  • He averages 0.2 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Goff (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Packers (2023) Prediction
253.5+ Passing Yards 33.3% 35.1% 0% 25.2%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 80.4% 75% 91.3%
2+ Passing TDs 33.3% 35.1% 0% 25.2%
3.5+ Rushing Yards 0% 99.3% 100% 37.4%
1+ Rushing TDs 33.3% 32.7% 14.3% 28.5%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.8% 0% 1.1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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