Jaguars vs. Falcons Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) and the Atlanta Falcons (2-1), who were both defeated in their last contest, will square off at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 1. In their previous games, the Jaguars lost 37-17 to the Texans, and the Falcons were defeated by the Lions 20-6.

The Falcons are 3-point underdogs in their matchup with the Jaguars (the game has a total of 42.5 points).

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of October 1, 2023 at 3:25 AM ET. Check out the article below for the most up-to-date lines for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Jaguars Vs Falcons Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Jaguars -3 42.5

Jaguars vs. Falcons Predictions

Computer picks for Jaguars vs Falcons
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Jaguars (-3) Under (42.5)

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Team Stat Rankings

Jaguars Falcons
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 19 (21) 18.3 (23)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 25 (21) 18 (7)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5 (15) 4.5 (26)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.5 (24) 4.7 (8)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (21) 2 (5)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (6) 4 (13)

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Jaguars Betting Insights

  • The Jaguars have won once against the spread this year.
  • Jacksonville has won once ATS (1-1) as a 3-point or higher favorite this season.
  • Two of the Jaguars’ three games have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 42.5 points, 3.8 fewer than the average total in this season’s Jacksonville contests (playoffs included).

Falcons Betting Insights

  • The Falcons have posted one win against the spread this season.
  • Atlanta is winless ATS (0-1) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs this season.
  • One of the Falcons’ three games has hit the over.
  • Atlanta games have gone over 42.5 points on one occasion this year.
  • The average total for Falcons games is 42.8 points, 0.3 more than this game’s over/under.

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Jaguars Players to Watch

  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 736 yards, completing 64.6% of his passes and tossing three touchdowns and two interceptions this season. He’s also run for 59 yards (19.7 ypg) on 15 carries.
  • Travis Etienne has 205 rushing yards on 49 carries with one touchdown. He’s also added 11 catches for 79 yards (26.3 per game).
  • Evan Engram has hauled in 18 catches for 173 yards (57.7 yards per game) to lead the team this season. .
  • Calvin Ridley has hauled in 13 receptions totaling 173 yards, finding the end zone one time as a receiver this campaign.
  • Christian Kirk’s 16 grabs are good enough for 173 yards and one touchdown.
  • Josh Allen has racked up three sacks to lead the team, while also picking up three TFL and 13 tackles.
  • Foyesade Oluokun is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s totaled 36 tackles.
  • Tyson Campbell has a team-high one interception to go along with 17 tackles and one pass defended.

Falcons Players to Watch

  • Desmond Ridder has thrown for 553 yards on 62.5% passing while tossing two touchdown passes with one interception this season. He’s also rushed for 41 yards with one score.
  • The team’s top rusher, Bijan Robinson, has carried the ball 39 times for 213 yards (71 per game) this year. He’s proven to be a dual threat, racking up 102 receiving yards (34 per game) on 14 catches with one receiving touchdown.
  • Tyler Allgeier has rushed for 135 yards on 38 carries with two touchdowns.
  • Mack Hollins’ 114 receiving yards (38 yards per game) are best on his team. He has seven receptions on 14 targets.
  • Kyle Pitts’ nine catches (on 17 targets) have netted him 100 yards (33.3 ypg).
  • Lorenzo Carter paces the team with one sack, and also has one TFL and four tackles.
  • Atlanta’s leading tackler, Kaden Elliss, has 25 tackles, two TFL, and one sack this year.
  • Jessie Bates III leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 24 tackles and three passes defended.

How to Bet on Jaguars vs Falcons

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