Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 25, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (87-69) and New York Yankees (79-77) clash on Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Rogers Centre.

The Blue Jays are favored (-180 on the moneyline) when they take the field at home against the Yankees (+149). The total for this game is set at 7.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of September 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -180 +149 7

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 64, or 55.7%, of the 115 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Toronto has won 20 of its 32 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -180 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 64.3% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 156 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 72-84-0 in 156 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 3.33
K/9 10.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (44.3%) in those games.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +149 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 40.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 70 of its 156 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Yankees are 77-79-0 against the spread in their 156 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 12
ERA 3.94
K/9 8.6

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman

  • Gausman’s team is 11-19-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander allowed three hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Wednesday.
  • Gausman has 24 starts of five or more innings this season in 30 chances. He averages 5.9 innings per outing.
  • In 30 appearances this season, he has finished eight without allowing an earned run.
  • When Gausman starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 16-13.
  • Gausman’s team is 16-14 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Gausman’s 30 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yimi Garcia 69 63.2 77 4.24 19 3
Tim Mayza 67 51.1 50 1.40 22 1
Erik Swanson 65 63.2 73 3.11 29 4
Jordan Hicks 63 63.2 79 3.11 13 12
Jordan Romano 56 57 70 2.68 2 36

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Michael King

  • The Yankees will send King (4-7) to the mound to make his ninth start of the season. He is 4-7 with a 2.66 ERA and 121 strikeouts through 94 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed seven innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • King has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this season entering this outing.
  • He has made 30 appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
  • The Yankees have been the moneyline underdog in four of King’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those games.
  • King’s team is 3-5 over his eight starts.
  • King has started eight contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Clay Holmes 62 61 69 2.66 5 22
Michael King 39 94.2 121 2.66 8 6
Ian Hamilton 34 56 68 2.73 4 2
Nick Ramirez 31 39.2 28 2.72 2 1
Greg Weissert 14 17.1 19 4.15 1 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have a 33-14 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Toronto has gone 25-9 in its 34 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled eight or more hits in 112 games this season, and is 76-36 in those contests.
  • Toronto has a 63-16 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays have drawn five or more walks in 44 games this season, and are 31-13 in those contests.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 79 games this season and are 60-19 in those matchups.
  • In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 21-4.
  • They have won 62 of the 90 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • New York has won 58 of its 74 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 52 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 31-21

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-180)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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