Rafael Devers will try to collect his 100th RBI (he has 98) when the Boston Red Sox (76-80) square off against the Tampa Bay Rays (95-62) at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Red Sox (+100 underdog on the moneyline) take the field at home against the Rays (-120). The over/under in the game is 8 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of September 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -120 | +100 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 128 times this season and won 83, or 64.8%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 79-37 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 85 of 157 chances this season.
- The Rays are 86-71-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 11.4 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (45%) in those games.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 30 times in 67 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 81 of 156 chances this season.
- In 156 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 74-82-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin and his team are 16-14-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Thursday.
- Eflin will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 30 chances this season.
- Eflin’s team has a record of 22-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Eflin’s team is 22-8 when he starts this season.
- Games Eflin has started this season hit the over 15 times in 30 chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 63 | 58.2 | 57 | 2.15 | 21 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 61 | 54.2 | 63 | 3.46 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 57 | 50.1 | 73 | 3.22 | 15 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 53 | 64.1 | 52 | 2.94 | 12 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 47 | 43.1 | 65 | 2.70 | 2 | 24 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- The Red Sox will send Houck (5-9) out for his 20th start of the season. He is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 97 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander threw four innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Houck enters this game with 14 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Red Sox have a 2-11 record in Houck’s 13 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Houck’s team has an 8-11 record in his starts this season.
- Houck’s starts went over the run total 11 times in 19 games with a set total this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 55 | 80 | 77 | 2.93 | 19 | 3 |
| Chris Martin | 55 | 51.1 | 46 | 1.05 | 23 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 44 | 48.1 | 55 | 3.35 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 41 | 43.2 | 50 | 4.12 | 10 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 50-17 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
- Tampa Bay has collected five or more extra-base hits in 38 games this season, and has gone 35-3 in those contests.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 104 games this season, and is 72-32 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 72-21 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays are 30-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 33 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 42 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 30-12.
- They have a record of 62-44 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 62 of its 78 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 17 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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