The Atlanta Braves (100-56) host the Chicago Cubs (82-74) at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday, a game featuring two of the league’s most consistent hitters. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an average of .336 (second in league) for the Braves, while Cody Bellinger ranks seventh at .305 for the Cubs.
The Cubs are an underdog away (+122) versus the Braves (-146). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 26, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -146 | +122 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 142 games this season and won 92 (64.8%) of those contests.
- Atlanta is 75-31 this season when entering a game favored by -146 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 88 of 156 games with a total.
- The Braves are 82-74-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 6.93 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been underdogs in 63 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (46%) in those contests.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win 14 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 76 of its 156 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 156 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 74-82-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder’s team is 16-14-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Elder has started 30 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 26 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
- In 30 appearances this season, he has finished six without allowing an earned run.
- Elder’s team has won 68% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (17-8).
- Elder’s team has won 20 of his 30 starts.
- In games Elder has started this season, the teams are 14-15-1 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 67 | 62.2 | 80 | 3.73 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 64 | 60.2 | 85 | 4.60 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 57 | 58.1 | 79 | 3.24 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 57 | 51.2 | 56 | 5.23 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 56 | 54.2 | 71 | 3.13 | 12 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele makes the start for the Cubs, his 30th of the season. He is 16-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 170 strikeouts through 168 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last pitched on Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed three innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Steele has pitched five or more innings in a game 26 times this season heading into this game.
- He has had seven appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Cubs have a 5-4 record in Steele’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Steele’s 29 starts, his team is 19-10.
- Steele’s starts hit the over on the run total 15 times in 29 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 66 | 69.1 | 95 | 3.38 | 17 | 2 |
| Jose Cuas | 65 | 63.2 | 70 | 4.10 | 9 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 65 | 63.1 | 77 | 3.41 | 28 | 4 |
| Daniel Palencia | 25 | 26 | 29 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Hayden Wesneski | 22 | 85.1 | 77 | 4.54 | 2 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have racked up at least two long balls in 87 games this season, and are 65-22 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 38-6 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 110 times this season, and has a 77-33 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 80-22 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 42 games this season, and are 30-12 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 63 games this season and are 41-22 in those matchups.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 28-4.
- In 101 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 71-30.
- In 83 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 65-18.
- In 51 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 29-22
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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