The Arizona Diamondbacks (82-73) and New York Yankees (78-77) square off on Monday at 1:05 PM ET at , attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Yankees (+100 underdog moneyline odds) hit the field versus the Diamondbacks (-121). The game’s total is 7.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of September 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -121 | +100 | 7 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 41, or 60.3%, of those games.
- Arizona has entered 57 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 37-20 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of 155 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks are 85-70-0 against the spread in their 155 chances this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 26, or 43.3%, of the 60 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has a mark of 21-26 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of its 155 opportunities.
- The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 76-79-0 in 155 games with a line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- Kelly’s team is 16-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday.
- Kelly will look to finish five or more innings for the 28th start in a row.
- In 28 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- When Kelly starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-4.
- Kelly’s team has a 16-12 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Kelly have a 10-18-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Sewald | 64 | 59.2 | 78 | 3.17 | 0 | 33 |
| Kyle Nelson | 61 | 53.2 | 65 | 3.86 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 58 | 63.2 | 68 | 2.12 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 29 | 36.1 | 25 | 4.95 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Thompson | 26 | 27.2 | 17 | 3.90 | 7 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt will try for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Yankees, his 31st of the season. He is 9-9 with a 4.65 ERA and 143 strikeouts through 151 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Schmidt is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
- He has had five appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Yankees are 3-6 in Schmidt’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Schmidt’s team is 13-17 over his 30 starts.
- Schmidt has had 30 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those outings.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 61 | 60 | 67 | 2.70 | 5 | 21 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 42 | 40.2 | 48 | 2.88 | 14 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 94.2 | 121 | 2.66 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 33 | 54.1 | 66 | 2.65 | 4 | 2 |
| Nick Ramirez | 30 | 39.1 | 28 | 2.52 | 2 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have put up two or more dingers in 47 games this season, and are 33-14 in those contests.
- Arizona is 22-7 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 74-33 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Arizona is 67-19 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 25-24 over the 49 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 78 games this season and are 59-19 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 21-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 89 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 61-28.
- In 73 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 57-16.
- They have won 30 of their 51 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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