The Los Angeles Rams (1-1) hit the road to play the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at Paul Brown Stadium on Monday, September 25, 2023, and here are our best bets.
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Spread: Rams (+3) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Rams in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Bengals favored and the difference between the two is 4.5 points.
- Los Angeles put together a 6-9-2 ATS record last year.
- The Rams were 4-2-2 ATS last year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- Cincinnati went 12-4-0 ATS last season.
- When playing as at least 3-point favorites last season, the Bengals had an ATS record of 9-5.
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Total: Under 45
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (43.5 points) slightly lower than the DraftKings over/under (45 points).
- Cincinnati games finished with more than 45 points seven times last year.
- Los Angeles games finished with over 45 points scored five times last season.
- Bengals games went over the point total six out of 16 times last season.
- Last season, six Rams games went over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Rams (+130)
- Prediction:
Los Angeles 22 – Cincinnati 21 - Cincinnati has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they lost both of the games.
- Los Angeles has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.
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Bengals and Rams Splits
| Bengals (2022) | Rams (2022) | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-4 | 5-12 |
| At Home | 6-1 | 4-5 |
| On the Road | 6-3 | 1-7 |
| In Conference | 8-3 | 3-9 |
| In Division | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| One Possession Games | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Indoor | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Outdoor | 11-3 | 4-11 |
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Joe Burrow Passing Yards: Under 258.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 641 PASS YDS / 320.5 YPG / 62.4% / 1 TD / 2 INT
- In Rams’ Last 5 Games: 641 PASS YDS / 320.5 YPG / 62.4% / 1 TD / 2 INT
- In Rams’ Last 3 Games: 641 PASS YDS / 320.5 YPG / 62.4% / 1 TD / 2 INT
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Joe Mixon Rushing Yards: Under 63.5 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 26 CAR / 115 YDS / 57.5 YPG / 0 TD
- In Bengals’ Last 5 Games: 26 CAR / 115 YDS / 57.5 YPG / 0 TD
- In Bengals’ Last 3 Games: 26 CAR / 115 YDS / 57.5 YPG / 0 TD
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Mixon Receiving Yards: Under 28.5 (-140)
- 2023 Season: 7 REC / 53 YDS / 26.5 YPG / 0 TD
- In Bengals’ Last 5 Games: 7 REC / 53 YDS / 26.5 YPG / 0 TD
- In Bengals’ Last 3 Games: 7 REC / 53 YDS / 26.5 YPG / 0 TD
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