The New York Yankees (78-76) play the Arizona Diamondbacks (81-73) after Aaron Judge hit three home runs in a 7-1 victory over the Diamondbacks. The game starts at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
As the favorite, the Diamondbacks (-122 on the moneyline to win) visit the Yankees (+102). The matchup has an over/under of 7 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 24, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -122 | +102 | 7 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 67 times this season and won 40, or 59.7%, of those games.
- This season Arizona has won 37 of its 56 games, or 66.1%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 154 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks are 84-70-0 ATS in their 154 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 26, or 44.1%, of the 59 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has a win-loss record of 20-25 when favored by +102 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 68 of 154 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 76-78-0 against the spread in their 154 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen’s team is 17-15-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Gallen has pitched five or more innings in 22 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 32 appearances this season, he has finished seven without allowing an earned run.
- When Gallen starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 14-8.
- Gallen’s team is 18-14 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Gallen have a 17-14-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Sewald | 64 | 59.2 | 78 | 3.17 | 0 | 33 |
| Kyle Nelson | 61 | 53.2 | 65 | 3.86 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 57 | 62.2 | 66 | 2.15 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 29 | 36.1 | 25 | 4.95 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Thompson | 25 | 26.2 | 16 | 4.05 | 7 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon
- Rodon (3-6) takes the mound first for the Yankees in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.90 ERA in 58 2/3 innings pitched, with 60 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Rodon will look to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.8 frames per outing.
- He allowed at least one earned run in each of his appearances in 2023.
- The Yankees have a 2-2 record in Rodon’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Rodon’s team has won three of his 12 starts.
- Rodon has had 12 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those games.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 61 | 60 | 67 | 2.70 | 5 | 21 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 42 | 40.2 | 48 | 2.88 | 14 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 94.2 | 121 | 2.66 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 33 | 54.1 | 66 | 2.65 | 4 | 2 |
| Nick Ramirez | 30 | 39.1 | 28 | 2.52 | 2 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 33-14 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Arizona has gone 22-7 in its 29 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 106 times this season, and has a 73-33 record in those games.
- Arizona is 66-19 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn at least five walks in 49 games this season, and are 25-24 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 78 games this season and are 59-19 in those matchups.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 21-4.
- In 89 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 61-28.
- New York has a 57-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 30 of their 50 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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