The Atlanta Braves (99-55) will try to grab their 100th victory of the year when they play the Washington Nationals (68-87), Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Nationals Park.
The Nationals are home underdogs (+246) versus the Braves (-320). The game’s over/under is 9.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of September 24, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -320 | +246 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 140 games this season and won 91 (65%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has entered three games this season favored by -320 or more and is 1-2 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 76.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 87 of its 154 games with a total this season.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 81-73-0 in 154 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 6.67 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 58, or 40.8%, of the 142 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +246 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 28.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of its 154 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 81-73-0 in 154 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.52 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Allan Winans
- Winans and his team are 2-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, Sept. 10.
- Winans’ team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Winans’ team is 2-2 when he starts this season.
- In Winans’ four starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 66 | 61.2 | 79 | 3.79 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 64 | 60.2 | 85 | 4.60 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 57 | 58.1 | 79 | 3.24 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 57 | 51.2 | 56 | 5.23 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 55 | 53.2 | 70 | 3.19 | 12 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jackson Rutledge
- The Nationals will look to Rutledge (0-1) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox, when the righty tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Rutledge will look to record his second game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
- The Nationals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Rutledge start this season — they lost.
- His team split the two games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Rutledge’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 63 | 66.1 | 61 | 3.66 | 8 | 26 |
| Hunter Harvey | 54 | 57 | 64 | 2.84 | 18 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 47 | 51.2 | 55 | 3.14 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 41 | 46.2 | 39 | 5.21 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 36 | 32.1 | 23 | 3.90 | 5 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 64-22 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
- Atlanta has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 43 games this season, and has gone 37-6 in those contests.
- The club is 76-33 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 79-22 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 29-12 over the 41 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 39 games this season and are 25-14 in those matchups.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-6.
- They have won 54 of the 100 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 47 of its 66 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 29 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-12
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-320)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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