The Houston Astros (85-70) are looking for another big outing from a batter on a hot streak against the Kansas City Royals (53-102) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park. Chas McCormick is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Astros are favored (-266 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Royals (+217). The over/under for this game is 9.5.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 24, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -266 | +217 | 9.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 59, or 51.8%, of those games.
- This season Houston has won seven of its 11 games, or 63.6%, when favored by at least -266 on the moneyline.
- The Astros have a 72.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 81 of its 155 games with a total this season.
- In 155 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 76-79-0 ATS.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 46 wins in the 134 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win three times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +217 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 31.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of its 155 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread record of 70-85-0 in 155 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown
- Brown and his team have a record of 10-18-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up seven earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Brown has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has six appearances with no earned runs allowed in 29 chances this season.
- Brown’s team has won 47.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-12).
- Brown’s team has won 14 of his 28 starts.
- Out of Brown’s 28 starts with a total this season, 15 have hit the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 67 | 68.1 | 94 | 1.84 | 24 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 65 | 63.2 | 72 | 1.84 | 28 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 65 | 66.1 | 78 | 4.88 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 64 | 63 | 70 | 3.14 | 8 | 1 |
| Kendall Graveman | 64 | 64 | 64 | 3.23 | 12 | 8 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Steven Cruz
- Cruz (0-0) gets the starting nod for the Royals, his third of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the righty threw 1 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians while surrendering one hit.
- He is trying to keep a streak of six games without surrendering an earned run alive.
- The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Cruz starts this season — they won both.
- His team has won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Cruz’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 57 | 67.2 | 76 | 5.05 | 15 | 4 |
| Taylor Clarke | 53 | 57.1 | 64 | 5.49 | 12 | 3 |
| Tucker Davidson | 34 | 49.1 | 45 | 6.20 | 1 | 2 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kowar | 21 | 26 | 28 | 5.88 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have hit at least two dingers in 56 games this season, and are 40-16 in those contests.
- Houston has collected at least five extra-base hits in 37 games this season, and has gone 27-10 in those contests.
- The team is 78-28 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Houston is 73-15 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 50 games this season, and are 40-10 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 20-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Kansas City has gone 17-17 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 86 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-47.
- In 54 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 37-17.
- They have a 8-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-266)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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