The Pittsburgh Pirates (74-81) will attempt to keep a four-game win streak alive when they visit the Cincinnati Reds (79-77) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Pirates are an underdog (+125 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at the Reds (-151). The matchup has an over/under set at 10.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of September 24, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -151 | +125 | 10.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have entered the game as favorites 40 times this season and won 22, or 55%, of those games.
- Cincinnati has entered 10 games this season favored by -151 or more and is 6-4 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 76 of 156 opportunities.
- The Reds are 89-67-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.83 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 54, or 43.9%, of the 123 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 36-37 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 84 of 155 chances this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 79-76-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.47 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson’s team is 11-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in four innings against the New York Mets.
- Williamson has 14 starts of five or more innings this season in 21 chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
- He has made 21 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Williamson and his team have won each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Williamson’s team has won 11 of his 21 starts this season.
- In Williamson’s 21 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 69 | 73 | 68 | 3.33 | 23 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 66 | 65.1 | 84 | 3.03 | 1 | 37 |
| Buck Farmer | 66 | 72.1 | 67 | 4.11 | 10 | 3 |
| Sam Moll | 64 | 58.1 | 65 | 3.24 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 62 | 57.2 | 70 | 3.28 | 22 | 3 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- The Pirates are sending Priester (3-2) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-2 with an 8.61 ERA and 29 strikeouts through 38 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance — in relief on Tuesday — the righty threw six innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Priester is looking to pick up his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
- He has not made an appearance so far in 2023 that he did not surrender at least one earned run.
- The Pirates are 3-3 in Priester’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Priester’s team has put together a 3-3 record in his six starts.
- Priester’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of six contests.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 62 | 65 | 75 | 2.08 | 0 | 37 |
| Dauri Moreta | 50 | 53.2 | 69 | 4.02 | 4 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 46 | 47.1 | 60 | 4.56 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 33 | 37.1 | 31 | 2.65 | 7 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 31 | 33.2 | 32 | 2.14 | 9 | 1 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds are 36-16 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Cincinnati is 30-10 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 70-30 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Cincinnati is 71-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Reds are 24-24 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 39 games this season and are 30-9 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has won 26 of its 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 54-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 60 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 48-12.
- They have won 23 of their 44 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Reds vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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