The San Diego Padres (76-79) and St. Louis Cardinals (68-87) square off on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET at PETCO Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Cardinals (+172 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Padres (-206). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 24, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -206 | +172 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 64, or 54.7%, of the 117 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has a record of 9-6, a 60% win rate, when favored by -206 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Padres have a 67.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 155 games with a total.
- The Padres are 76-79-0 against the spread in their 155 chances this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.36 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have won in 34, or 43.6%, of the 78 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, St. Louis has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +172 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 36.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 74 of its 154 opportunities.
- The Cardinals are 71-83-0 against the spread in their 154 games that had a posted line this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 6.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- When Wacha starts, his team is 15-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw five innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Wacha has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 17 times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
- In 22 appearances this season, he has finished seven without allowing an earned run.
- Wacha’s team has been victorious in 68.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-5.
- In games Wacha has started, his team is 14-8.
- Games started by Wacha have an 11-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Garcia | 58 | 58.1 | 53 | 4.17 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 58 | 65 | 76 | 4.57 | 6 | 13 |
| Josh Hader | 57 | 53 | 81 | 1.19 | 0 | 31 |
| Nick Martínez | 53 | 105.1 | 98 | 3.59 | 15 | 1 |
| Tom Cosgrove | 47 | 48 | 43 | 1.87 | 5 | 0 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Drew Rom
- The Cardinals will send Rom (1-3) to the mound for his seventh start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 6.92 ERA and 21 strikeouts over 26 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Tuesday, the left-hander went 3 1/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Rom is looking to collect his third start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Rom’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
- Rom’s team is 2-4 in his six starts.
- Rom’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of six contests.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 58 | 65.1 | 42 | 4.82 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 57 | 59 | 58 | 3.97 | 13 | 0 |
| John King | 32 | 35.1 | 18 | 3.82 | 11 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 30 | 34.2 | 47 | 2.6 | 2 | 12 |
| Zack Thompson | 16 | 61 | 67 | 4.57 | 1 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 40-27 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has collected five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 26-8 in those outings.
- The team is 59-26 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- San Diego has a 60-13 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres are 33-28 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 44 of the 67 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has won 34 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 64 of the 103 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- St. Louis has a 59-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 21-29 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-206)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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