The Cleveland Guardians (74-82) and Baltimore Orioles (96-59) meet on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET.
The Guardians (-114 on the moneyline) play the Orioles (-106) in an expected tight matchup. The game’s total is 7.5.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 24, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -114 | -106 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 74 times this season and won 38, or 51.4%, of those games.
- Cleveland has entered 68 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 34-34 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of its 155 games with a total this season.
- The Guardians are 81-74-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have come away with 45 wins in the 78 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Baltimore has a mark of 41-28 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 81 of 155 chances this season.
- In 155 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 93-62-0 against the spread.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Triston McKenzie
- McKenzie has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, June 10, when he threw five innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing seven hits against the Houston Astros.
- McKenzie’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- McKenzie’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by McKenzie this season, the teams hit the over once.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 71 | 70.2 | 64 | 3.18 | 0 | 42 |
| Trevor Stephan | 67 | 65.2 | 71 | 3.97 | 27 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 67 | 62.2 | 61 | 3.45 | 15 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 63 | 64 | 81 | 3.38 | 20 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 58 | 63.1 | 70 | 3.84 | 8 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson (14-9) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 32nd start of the season. He’s put together a 5.00 ERA in 180 2/3 innings pitched, with 149 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, the righty went 4 2/3 innings against the Houston Astros, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Gibson will try to collect his 27th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.8 innings per appearance.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 31 outings this season.
- The Orioles have a 9-8 record in Gibson’s 17 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gibson’s team is 18-13 over his 31 starts.
- Gibson’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 17 of 31 games.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 68 | 70.2 | 60 | 2.17 | 30 | 7 |
| Cionel Pérez | 62 | 52.1 | 43 | 3.61 | 10 | 3 |
| Jorge López | 58 | 57.1 | 47 | 6.12 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 57 | 48 | 54 | 2.81 | 22 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 54 | 77 | 82 | 7.25 | 5 | 2 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have a 21-8 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Cleveland has collected five or more extra-base hits in 28 games this season, and has gone 21-7 in those contests.
- The team is 51-46 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Cleveland has a 44-15 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians are 21-18 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 43 of the 57 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has gone 37-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 101 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 73-28.
- Baltimore has won 75 of its 87 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 38 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 29-9
Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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