The Milwaukee Brewers (88-67) and Miami Marlins (80-75) meet on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET at LoanDepot park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Brewers are a favorite (-130) against the Marlins (+110). The over/under for this game is 7.5.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 24, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -130 | +110 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 49 out of the 84 games, or 58.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Milwaukee has won 33 of its 56 games, or 58.9%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 155 chances this season.
- In 155 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 80-75-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.30 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 39 wins in the 84 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Miami has a mark of 23-28 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 73 of its 155 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 70-85-0 in 155 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta’s team is 15-14-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Peralta has 19 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 29 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Peralta’s team is 13-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Peralta’s team has a 17-12 record in his starts this season.
- Games Peralta has started this season hit the over 16 times in 29 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 70 | 62.2 | 57 | 2.01 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 65 | 68.2 | 74 | 2.62 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 58 | 56.2 | 84 | 1.59 | 0 | 35 |
| Andrew Chafin | 57 | 48.1 | 62 | 5.03 | 12 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 51 | 74 | 58 | 2.68 | 4 | 3 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera (6-7) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.35 ERA in 91 2/3 innings pitched, with 110 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s last time out came on Monday against the New York Mets, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Cabrera will try to secure his 12th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.6 innings per appearance.
- In two of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Cabrera’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those games.
- Cabrera’s team has won eight of his 17 starts.
- Cabrera’s starts went over the run total six times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 66 | 74.2 | 98 | 2.41 | 24 | 10 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 61.1 | 70 | 3.23 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 56 | 54 | 68 | 2.67 | 17 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 55 | 53 | 73 | 4.25 | 2 | 15 |
| Steven Okert | 55 | 56 | 69 | 4.66 | 12 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 46-10 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 23 games this season when racking up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 61-19 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee is 73-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 41-13 in the 54 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 26-22 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-3.
- They have won 66 of the 112 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has a 56-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 23 of their 36 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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