The New York Mets (71-84) take a three-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the Philadelphia Phillies (86-69), at 6:05 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Phillies (-180 on the moneyline) play at home against the Mets (+149). The over/under for the game is 9 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 24, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -180 | +149 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 104 times this season and won 62, or 59.6%, of those games.
- This season Philadelphia has won 21 of its 33 games, or 63.6%, when favored by at least -180 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 64.3%.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 72 of its 155 chances.
- The Phillies are 71-84-0 against the spread in their 155 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 21, or 31.8%, of the 66 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, New York has won two of 14 games when listed as at least +149 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 40.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 65 of its 156 opportunities.
- In 156 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 72-84-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Cristopher Sanchez
- Sanchez’s team is 5-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in four innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- In 17 starts, Sanchez has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 5.4 frames per outing.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 17 chances this season.
- Sanchez’s team is 6-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Sanchez’s team is 7-10 when he starts this season.
- Out of Sanchez’s 17 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 68 | 66 | 88 | 3.27 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 66 | 58.1 | 60 | 4.78 | 23 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 55 | 48 | 46 | 3.94 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 50 | 50 | 67 | 2.52 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 45 | 85.1 | 105 | 3.16 | 10 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Butto
- The Mets are sending Butto (1-2) out to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.09 ERA and 29 strikeouts over 32 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Monday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Butto will aim to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.6 frames per outing.
- He has not had an appearance yet in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Mets were the moneyline underdog for one Butto start this season — they won.
- Butto’s team has a 3-2 record over his five starts.
- Butto’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in one of five contests.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 64 | 59.2 | 59 | 2.87 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 63 | 53 | 58 | 2.89 | 24 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 60 | 54.1 | 59 | 4.31 | 12 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 60 | 56 | 60 | 4.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Bickford | 59 | 65.1 | 71 | 5.10 | 4 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have racked up at least two long balls in 60 games this season, and are 44-16 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 44 games this season, and has gone 34-10 in those contests.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 102 games this season, and is 66-36 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a 65-17 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 33-22 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has won 22 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 57 of the 87 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- New York has won 53 of its 73 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 18 of their 33 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-180)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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