Bills vs. Commanders Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Week 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 23, 2023

Check out best bets for when the Buffalo Bills (1-1) and the Washington Commanders (2-0) square off at FedExField on Sunday, September 24, 2023.

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Spread: Bills (-5.5) to Cover

  • The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.1 points of each other.
  • Buffalo covered eight times in 16 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Bills covered the spread five times last season (5-8 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
  • Washington put together a 9-8-0 record against the spread last year.
  • The Commanders covered the spread twice when an underdog by 5.5 points or more last season (in four opportunities).

Think the Bills will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 44

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 3.5 points lower than the model projection.
  • In 10 games last season, Buffalo and its opponent combined for more than 44 points.
  • There were five Washington games last year with more than 44 points scored.
  • Last season, six of the Bills’ games hit the over.
  • In Commanders games last year, combined scoring went over the point total five times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Bills (-245)

  • Prediction:
    Buffalo 27 – Washington 21
  • Buffalo has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
  • Washington won the only game it has played as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Bills and Commanders Splits

Bills (2022) Commanders (2022)
Record 13-3 8-8-1
At Home 7-1 4-5
On the Road 6-2 4-3-1
In Conference 9-2 5-6-1
In Division 4-2 2-3-1
One Possession Games 6-3 5-3-1
Indoor 1-0 2-2
Outdoor 12-3 6-6-1

Interested in more information about this game? Check out the full preview here!

Sam Howell Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-200)

See all of Howell’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

James Cook Rushing Yards: Under 54.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 29 CAR / 169 YDS / 84.5 YPG / 0 TD

Explore all of Cook’s props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards: Under 71.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 17 REC / 168 YDS / 84 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Bills’ Last 5 Games: 17 REC / 168 YDS / 84 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Bills’ Last 3 Games: 17 REC / 168 YDS / 84 YPG / 1 TD

See all of Diggs’ props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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