The Philadelphia Phillies (85-69) bring a three-game win streak into a home contest versus the New York Mets (71-83) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Phillies are favored at home (-189) against the Mets (+157). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 23, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -189 | +157 | 7.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 103 games this season and won 61 (59.2%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has a record of 16-10, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -189 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 65.4% chance to win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 154 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 70-84-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (32.3%) in those games.
- New York has a mark of 1-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +157 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 155 chances this season.
- In 155 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 72-83-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.76 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler’s team is 13-17-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw six innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Wheeler has 18 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 30 chances this season.
- When Wheeler starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 15-11.
- Wheeler’s team is 18-12 when he starts this season.
- In Wheeler’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 68 | 66 | 88 | 3.27 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 65 | 57.1 | 58 | 4.87 | 22 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 55 | 48 | 46 | 3.94 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 50 | 50 | 67 | 2.52 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 45 | 85.1 | 105 | 3.16 | 10 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Quintana
- Quintana makes the start for the Mets, his 12th of the season. He is 3-5 with a 3.02 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 65 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the lefty went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Quintana is aiming for his 12th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Mets were the moneyline underdog for five Quintana starts this season — they lost each time.
- Quintana’s team has won three of his 11 starts.
- Quintana has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those matchups.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 64 | 59.2 | 59 | 2.87 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 63 | 53 | 58 | 2.89 | 24 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 60 | 56 | 60 | 4.34 | 10 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 60 | 54.1 | 59 | 4.31 | 12 | 3 |
| Phil Bickford | 59 | 65.1 | 71 | 5.23 | 4 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit at least two home runs in 59 games this season, and are 43-16 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has had at least five extra-base hits in 43 games this season, and has gone 33-10 in those outings.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 101 times this season, and has a 65-36 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 64-17 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 55 games this season and are 33-22 in those matchups.
- In 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 22-6.
- In 86 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 57-29.
- New York has won 53 of its 72 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-189)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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