The Baltimore Orioles hope to stop their three-game losing run against the Cleveland Guardians (74-81), on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET.
The Guardians are an underdog (+113 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Orioles (-133). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of September 23, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -133 | +113 | 8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have been favored 76 times and won 50, or 65.8%, of those games.
- This season Baltimore has won 39 of its 54 games, or 72.2%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 57.1%.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 154 chances this season.
- In 154 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 93-61-0 ATS.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 79 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (45.6%) in those games.
- Cleveland has a mark of 18-30 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of its 154 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 154 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 80-74-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – John Means
- Means has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Houston Astros, throwing five innings and giving up one earned run.
- Means has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Means’ team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Means’ team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Means this season, the teams hit the over once.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 67 | 70 | 59 | 2.19 | 29 | 7 |
| Cionel Pérez | 61 | 51.1 | 43 | 3.68 | 10 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 58 | 57.1 | 47 | 6.12 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 57 | 48 | 54 | 2.81 | 22 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 54 | 77 | 82 | 7.25 | 5 | 2 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill
- Quantrill makes the start for the Guardians, his 18th of the season. He is 3-6 with a 5.26 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 90 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Monday against the Kansas City Royals, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Quantrill will try to build on a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per appearance).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 17 appearances this season.
- The Guardians are 6-4 in Quantrill’s 10 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Quantrill’s team has an 8-9 record in his starts this season.
- Quantrill’s starts went over the run total five times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 71 | 70.2 | 64 | 3.18 | 0 | 42 |
| Trevor Stephan | 67 | 65.2 | 71 | 3.97 | 27 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 67 | 62.2 | 61 | 3.45 | 15 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 63 | 64 | 81 | 3.38 | 20 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 58 | 63.1 | 70 | 3.84 | 8 | 1 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 43-14 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has gone 37-3 in its 40 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 72-28 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Baltimore has a 75-12 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles are 28-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 21 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has won 21 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 51 of the 97 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 59 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 44-15.
- In 39 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-18
Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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