The Milwaukee Brewers (88-66) take a four-game win streak into a road matchup versus the Miami Marlins (79-75) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
As the favorite, the Brewers (-120 moneyline odds to win) visit the Marlins (+100). The contest has an over/under of 7.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 23, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -120 | +100 | 7 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 83 games this season and won 49 (59%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee is 40-28 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of 154 games with a total.
- The Brewers are 80-74-0 ATS in their 154 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 1.98 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Miami has been victorious 29 times in 70 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 72 of its 154 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 69-85-0 in 154 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff
- When Woodruff starts, his team is 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Woodruff has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 10 chances this season.
- Woodruff’s team has a record of 6-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Woodruff has started, his team is 7-3.
- Games started by Woodruff have a 4-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 69 | 61.1 | 56 | 2.05 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 64 | 68 | 73 | 2.51 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 58 | 56.2 | 84 | 1.59 | 0 | 35 |
| Andrew Chafin | 56 | 48 | 62 | 5.06 | 12 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 51 | 74 | 58 | 2.68 | 4 | 3 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo (10-9) takes the mound first for the Marlins in his 31st start of the season. He has a 3.84 ERA in 166 1/3 innings pitched, with 194 strikeouts.
- His last time out was on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, when the lefty went six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
- Luzardo will try to last five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- He has had seven appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Luzardo’s starts this season, and they went 10-8 in those games.
- In Luzardo’s 30 starts, his team is 18-12.
- Luzardo has had 30 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 16 of those games hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 65 | 73.2 | 96 | 2.44 | 24 | 9 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 61.1 | 70 | 3.23 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 55 | 53 | 66 | 2.72 | 17 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 55 | 56 | 69 | 4.66 | 12 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 54 | 52 | 72 | 4.15 | 2 | 15 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 46-10 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 23 games this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 61-19 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee is 73-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers have gone 41-13 over the 54 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 26-22 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-3.
- They have won 65 of the 111 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has a 55-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 22 of their 35 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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