Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 23, 2023

Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays (94-61) into a matchup against Bo Bichette and the Toronto Blue Jays (86-68) at Tropicana Field, on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Diaz is at .322, the fifth-best average in the league, while Bichette is ninth at .300.

The Blue Jays are an underdog (+101 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Rays (-122). The game’s over/under is set at 8.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 23, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -122 +101 8

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 126 times this season and won 82, or 65.1%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 78-36 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 83 of 155 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 85-70-0 ATS in their 155 games with a spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 4.25
K/9 11.9

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been victorious in 22, or 56.4%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Toronto has a win-loss record of 11-11 when favored by +101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Toronto has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 66 of 154 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays have posted a record of 71-83-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 3.68
K/9 9.8

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zack Littell

  • Littell and his team have a record of 7-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • In 13 starts this season, Littell has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 3.2 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 26 appearances and finished seven of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Littell starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
  • Littell’s team has won five of his 13 starts this season.
  • Games started by Littell have a 5-8-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Diekman 61 54.2 63 3.46 8 0
Colin Poche 61 56.2 56 2.06 20 1
Robert Stephenson 57 50.1 73 3.22 15 1
Jason Adam 54 54.1 69 2.98 11 11
Kevin Kelly 53 64.1 52 2.94 12 2

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu

  • Ryu gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 10th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 35 strikeouts through 44 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Sunday, the left-hander went 4 2/3 scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox while surrendering six hits.
  • Ryu has put together seven starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has had four appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Blue Jays were the moneyline underdog for one Ryu start this season — they lost.
  • Ryu’s team has put together a 6-3 record in his nine starts.
  • Ryu’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of nine contests.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 67 51.1 50 1.4 22 1
Yimi Garcia 67 61.2 74 4.09 17 3
Erik Swanson 64 62.2 71 3.16 28 4
Jordan Hicks 62 62.2 79 3.16 13 12
Jordan Romano 55 56.1 69 2.4 2 36

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have hit at least two long balls in 66 games this season, and are 49-17 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 35-3 in its 38 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 102 games this season, and is 71-31 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay is 71-20 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rays have gone 30-9 over the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They have won 32 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-8.
  • They have won 75 of the 110 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Toronto has a 62-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 31 of their 44 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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