The Kansas City Royals (52-102) aim to continue their four-game winning streak when they meet the Houston Astros (85-69) on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park.
The Astros are a heavy home favorite (-292) against the Royals (+237). The over/under for this game is set at 10.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of September 23, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -292 | +237 | 10 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 59, or 52.2%, of the 113 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Houston has won three of its four games when favored by at least -292 on the moneyline.
- The Astros have a 74.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 154 chances this season.
- The Astros are 76-78-0 against the spread in their 154 chances this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been victorious in 45, or 33.8%, of the 133 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +237 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 29.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 74 of its 154 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals are 69-85-0 against the spread in their 154 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France
- France and his team have a record of 12-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed five hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Saturday, Sept. 16.
- In 22 starts, France has pitched through or past the fifth inning 18 times. He has a season average of 5.7 frames per outing.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
- France’s team has been victorious in 52.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-8.
- France’s team is 13-9 when he starts this season.
- In France’s 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 66 | 67.1 | 91 | 1.87 | 24 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 65 | 63.2 | 72 | 1.84 | 28 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 64 | 64 | 64 | 3.23 | 12 | 8 |
| Phil Maton | 64 | 63 | 70 | 3.14 | 8 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 64 | 65.1 | 76 | 4.96 | 10 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles (4-17) takes the mound first for the Royals in his 30th start of the season. He’s put together a 6.32 ERA in 166 2/3 innings pitched, with 113 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Houston Astros, when he went six innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Lyles will look to build upon a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 innings per appearance).
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 26 of Lyles’ starts this season, and they went 5-21 in those games.
- Over Lyles’ 29 starts, his team is 5-24.
- Lyles has had 29 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 15 of those matchups finished over the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 56 | 66.2 | 75 | 5.13 | 14 | 4 |
| Taylor Clarke | 52 | 55.2 | 63 | 5.66 | 12 | 2 |
| Tucker Davidson | 33 | 49 | 45 | 6.06 | 0 | 2 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kowar | 21 | 26 | 28 | 5.88 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 40-16 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Houston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 37 games this season, and has gone 27-10 in those outings.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 106 times this season, and has a 78-28 record in those games.
- Houston is 73-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros are 40-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 20-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-17.
- They have a record of 39-47 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 54 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 37-17.
- In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-13
Astros vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-292)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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