Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (56-97) hope to stop their five-game losing run against the Chicago Cubs (80-74), at 2:20 PM ET on Saturday.

The favored Cubs (-228 on the moneyline to win) host the Rockies (+188). The over/under for this game is 8.5.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 23, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -228 +188 8.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 50, or 55.6%, of those games.
  • Chicago has played as favorites of -228 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 69.5% chance to win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 75 of its 154 games with a total this season.
  • The Cubs are 73-81-0 ATS in their 154 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 14
ERA 5.16
K/9 9.9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been underdogs in 138 games this season and have come away with the win 51 times (37%) in those contests.
  • This year, Colorado has won four of 45 games when listed as at least +188 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 34.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 69 of its 153 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread mark of 75-78-0 in 153 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 9
ERA 4.81
K/9 7.7

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • Stroman’s team is 11-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Sunday, when he threw one inning, giving up no earned runs while allowing one hit to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Stroman has started 23 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 18 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to three.
  • Stroman’s team is 7-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Stroman has started, his team is 12-11.
  • In games Stroman has started this season, the teams are 8-13-2 at hitting the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Mark Leiter Jr. 65 63.1 77 3.41 28 4
Julian Merryweather 64 67.1 91 3.48 16 1
Jose Cuas 63 61.2 68 4.23 8 0
Daniel Palencia 24 25 28 4.68 1 0
Hayden Wesneski 22 85.1 77 4.54 2 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chris Flexen

  • The Rockies will send Flexen (1-8) to make his 15th start of the season. He is 1-8 with a 7.19 ERA and 70 strikeouts through 91 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, the righty went 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Flexen will try to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 3.4 frames per outing.
  • In five of his 27 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Rockies have been the underdog on the moneyline in 13 of Flexen’s starts this season, and they went 3-10 in those matchups.
  • Flexen’s team has won three of his 14 starts.
  • Flexen has had 14 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those games finished over the total.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 63 70 70 3.86 10 11
Jake Bird 61 85 74 4.34 12 0
Brent Suter 51 65.2 50 3.84 6 0
Daniel Bard 48 47.1 44 5.32 6 1
Matt Koch 35 33.2 20 4.81 6 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs have hit two or more home runs in 63 games this season, and are 41-22 in those outings.
  • Chicago is 28-4 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 70-30 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
  • Chicago is 64-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 49 games this season, and are 27-22 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 19-14 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has won 14 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 41-51 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Colorado has won 41 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 16-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-228)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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