The Milwaukee Brewers (87-66) will look to keep a three-game win streak going when they visit the Miami Marlins (79-74) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.
The Marlins are an underdog (+124 moneyline odds) when they takes the field at home against the Brewers (-149). The contest has a set total of 8.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 22, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -149 | +124 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 48 (58.5%) of those contests.
- This season Milwaukee has won 19 of its 38 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -149 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of its 153 games with a total this season.
- In 153 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 79-74-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 1.98 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been victorious in 38, or 46.3%, of the 82 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has been victorious 13 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of its 153 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 69-84-0 against the spread in their 153 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 12-18-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Burnes has pitched five or more innings in 28 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 30 appearances this season, he has finished seven without allowing an earned run.
- When Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 14-9.
- Burnes’ team has a 16-14 record in his starts this season.
- Games Burnes has started this season hit the over 15 times in 30 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 69 | 61.1 | 56 | 2.05 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 64 | 68 | 73 | 2.51 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 58 | 56.2 | 84 | 1.59 | 0 | 35 |
| Andrew Chafin | 55 | 47 | 61 | 5.17 | 12 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 50 | 73 | 58 | 2.59 | 4 | 3 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – JT Chargois
- Chargois makes the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out — out of the bullpen on Wednesday — the righty threw one scoreless inning against the New York Mets without surrendering a hit.
- He is looking to make his third straight outing with no earned runs given up.
- The Marlins were named the moneyline underdog for two Chargois starts this season — they split the games.
- Chargois’ team has won two of his three starts.
- Chargois’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of three contests.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 65 | 73.2 | 96 | 2.44 | 24 | 9 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 61.1 | 70 | 3.23 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 55 | 53 | 66 | 2.72 | 17 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 54 | 52 | 72 | 4.15 | 2 | 15 |
| Steven Okert | 54 | 55.1 | 68 | 4.07 | 12 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 45-10 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee has collected at least five extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and won every time.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 79 games this season, and is 60-19 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 72-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 53 games this season, and are 40-13 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 48 games this season and are 26-22 in those matchups.
- In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-3.
- They have a record of 65-46 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Miami has won 55 of its 69 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 22-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+124)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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