The Cincinnati Reds (79-75) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (72-81) to open a three-game series at Great American Ball Park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Reds are coming off a series defeat to the Twins, and the Pirates a series win over the Cubs.
The favored Reds (-156 on the moneyline) play at home against the Pirates (+130). The over/under for this game is 9.5.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of September 22, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -156 | +130 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won 22, or 57.9%, of the 38 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Cincinnati has entered seven games this season favored by -156 or more and is 4-3 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 60.9% chance to win.
- So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of 154 games with a total.
- The Reds have an ATS record of 89-65-0 in 154 games with a spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 52 wins in the 121 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 29 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or longer on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 82 of its 153 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 77-76-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.46 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott
- Abbott and his team are 12-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 3 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Saturday.
- Abbott has 13 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 5.4 innings per outing.
- In 19 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Abbott’s team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-3.
- In games Abbott has started, his team is 14-5.
- In games Abbott has started this season, the teams are 6-13-0 at hitting the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 67 | 71.1 | 66 | 3.15 | 23 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 65 | 64.2 | 84 | 2.51 | 1 | 37 |
| Buck Farmer | 65 | 71.1 | 65 | 3.91 | 10 | 3 |
| Sam Moll | 64 | 58.1 | 65 | 3.24 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 60 | 56 | 69 | 3.38 | 22 | 3 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Andre Jackson
- The Pirates are sending Jackson (1-3) to the mound to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 49 strikeouts over 55 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was out of the bullpen on Sunday when the righty tossed 4 1/3 innings against the New York Yankees, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Jackson has two starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
- In five of his 16 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Pirates were named the moneyline underdog for two Jackson starts this season — they lost both.
- Jackson’s team has won one of his five starts.
- Jackson has started five games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 61 | 64 | 74 | 2.11 | 0 | 36 |
| Colin Holderman | 57 | 56 | 58 | 3.86 | 27 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 44 | 46.1 | 58 | 4.47 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 32 | 36.1 | 31 | 2.72 | 7 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 29 | 31.2 | 30 | 1.99 | 8 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have hit two or more dingers in 51 games this season, and are 36-15 in those outings.
- Cincinnati is 30-9 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 70-29 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Cincinnati has a 71-14 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 24-22 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 29-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 25 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 52 of the 75 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 46-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 22 of their 43 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Reds vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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