Dodgers vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2023

Freddie Freeman is only one hit away from his 200th of the campaign, as his Los Angeles Dodgers (94-58) get set to face against the San Francisco Giants (76-77) on Friday at 10:10 PM ET.

The Giants are an underdog away (+144) at the Dodgers (-174). The game’s total is set at 9.

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 22, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -174 +144 9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 127 times this season and won 81, or 63.8%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has entered 50 games this season favored by -174 or more and is 33-17 in those contests.
  • The Dodgers have a 63.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 85 of its 151 chances.
  • The Dodgers are 84-67-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 16
ERA 3.03
K/9 10.6

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have won in 32, or 44.4%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, San Francisco has been victorious three times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of its 153 opportunities.
  • The Giants are 68-85-0 against the spread in their 153 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 8
ERA 4.71
K/9 7

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Caleb Ferguson

  • Ferguson and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed one hit in one inning pitched against the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday.
  • In seven starts this season, Ferguson has yet to get through five or more innings.
  • He has finished 52 appearances without allowing an earned run in 63 chances this season.
  • Ferguson’s team has a record of 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Ferguson’s team has won six of his seven starts this season.
  • In games Ferguson has started this season, the teams are 1-5-0 at hitting the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 62 64.1 46 1.26 18 7
Evan Phillips 57 58.2 63 2.45 6 23
Caleb Ferguson 56 56.1 66 2.88 18 3
Ryan Brasier 54 57.1 54 3.14 11 2
Alex Vesia 52 47 62 4.6 10 1

Giants Probable Pitcher – Sean Manaea

  • Manaea makes the start for the Giants, his ninth of the season. He is 6-6 with a 4.82 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Manaea will try to prolong a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging three innings per outing).
  • He has had 11 appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Giants have a 1-2 record in Manaea’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Manaea’s eight starts, his team is 2-6.
  • Manaea’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of eight contests.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 65 64 83 3.09 0 37
Tyler Rogers 63 70.1 56 3.2 28 2
Taylor Rogers 57 50 60 3.06 12 2
Scott Alexander 45 48.1 31 4.66 6 1
Ryan Walker 33 56.1 71 3.2 3 1

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 56-19 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
  • Los Angeles has gone 35-9 in its 44 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 76-25 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles is 78-20 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers have gone 43-20 over the 63 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 30 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has won 18 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 85 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 57-28.
  • In 66 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 47-19.
  • In 40 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-18

Dodgers vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-174)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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