The Atlanta Braves (98-55) play the Washington Nationals (68-86) on Friday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET.
The Nationals are a heavy underdog (+219 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Braves (-270). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 22, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -270 | +219 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 90 out of the 139 games, or 64.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Atlanta has won eight of its 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -270 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 73% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 86 of 153 games with a total.
- The Braves are 80-73-0 ATS in their 153 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 6.85 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 141 games this season and have come away with the win 58 times (41.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has been victorious five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +219 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of its 153 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 81-72-0 in 153 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.17 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- Morton’s team is 14-15-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Sunday.
- Morton has started 29 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 24 times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.
- He has made 29 appearances and finished seven of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Morton starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 15-12.
- In games Morton has started, his team is 16-13.
- Out of Morton’s 29 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 66 | 61.2 | 79 | 3.79 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 63 | 60 | 85 | 4.65 | 11 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 57 | 58.1 | 79 | 3.24 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 56 | 50.2 | 55 | 4.97 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 55 | 53.2 | 70 | 3.19 | 12 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin (10-13 with a 5.05 ERA and 121 strikeouts in 171 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 31st of the season.
- The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Corbin will look to continue a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing).
- In two of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 14-14 record in Corbin’s 28 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Corbin’s team is 15-15 over his 30 starts.
- Corbin’s starts hit the over on the run total 15 times in 30 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 63 | 66.1 | 61 | 3.66 | 8 | 26 |
| Hunter Harvey | 54 | 57 | 64 | 2.84 | 18 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 46 | 51 | 54 | 3.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 40 | 45.2 | 38 | 4.73 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 36 | 32.1 | 23 | 3.90 | 5 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit two or more long balls in 85 games this season, and are 63-22 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 36-6 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits in 108 games this season, and is 75-33 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 78-22 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 41 games this season, and are 29-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 39 games this season and are 25-14 in those matchups.
- Washington has won 19 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 54-45 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 47-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 17 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-270)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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